they gave mitt romney solid democratic states like new mexico and pennsylvania. really? polls should be a snapshot of the current state of the race and there's no doubt mitt romney is benefitting from his debate performance last week. but over "the new york times," the forecast shows president obama still holds a 70% chance of winning the election. the percentage is back in line with the state of the race before the political conventions. president obama made some gains after the dnc. so the race is back to where it was in august. eight years ago today, cnn poll after the first presidential poll put john kerry on top of george bush by one percentage point, 49-48. the race is close. this should surprise no one in america. every vote is going to count. there's been bipartisan agreement about a close race for months. >> this race, as we say in the south, it's as tight as a tick on a dog and it's going to stay that way until november. >> let's be clear, this thing is still tight as a tick, and nothing is set in concrete. >> this is a very tight race. we've always believed th